Strength
Strength
|
64 19 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
654 -16 Strength Momentum |
758 42.1(50) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Santa Fe | 0.001 | 877 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 497 | 26% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Capital | 0.002 | 947 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 512 | 13% | |
| 08/29/15 | Robertson | 0.005 | 717 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 519 | 46% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Socorro | 0.007 | 1287 | L 0- 6 | Expected (+1) | 682 | 1% | |
| 09/05/15 | East Mountain | 0.014 | 1024 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 621 | 11% | |
| 09/08/15 | Taos | 0.027 | 952 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 636 | 18% | |
| 09/16/15 | at Bernalillo !! | 0.089 | 836 | W 4- 2 | Better (+4) | 861 | 23% | |
| 09/19/15 | Portales | 0.145 | 799 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 710 | 35% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.199 | 689 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 637 | 41% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.208 | 686 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 786 | 41% | |
| 09/26/15 | Monte del Sol ? | 0.181 | 698 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 458 | 49% | |
| 09/28/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.180 | 1182 | L 0- 6 | Expected (0) | 630 | 2% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Monte del Sol ! | 0.471 | 698 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 742 | 40% | |
| 10/05/15 | at Desert Academy ?? | 0.565 | 564 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 575 | 58% | |
| 10/06/15 | ATC | 0.464 | 393 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 708 | 85% | |
| 10/12/15 | Desert Academy | 0.795 | 564 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 643 | 66% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Bosque | 0.715 | 1089 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 686 | 4% | |
| 10/19/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.907 | 686 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 604 | 50% | |
| 10/22/15 | at ATC | 0.615 | 393 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 740 | 79% | |
| 10/23/15 | St. Michael's | 0.373 | 1182 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 598 | 3% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 758, while
Santa Fe Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 659
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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